Australian fiscal forecasts in a time of political spin and economic change

Crawford School of Public Policy | Tax and Transfer Policy Institute
Image sourced from flickr by distelfliege

Event details


Date & time

Wednesday 26 April 2017


Miller Theatre, Level 1, Old Canberra House Building 73, Lennox Crossing, ANU


Professor Bob Gregory, Research School of Economics, ANU.


Diane Paul
02 61259318

In this seminar Bob Gregory explores budget outcomes, primarily tax revenue, over the last decade and a half in an attempt to explain why the forecasting errors are so large. The discussion includes how, when and why, Australia got into this situation and how Australia may return to surplus. There are asides on why Treasurers have too often diverted discussion away from major issues and major outcomes and how political spin, focussed on the short run, has made economic and political progress more difficult. There are comments on how tax policy will and should evolve. Bob Gregory outlines the major structural changes that have occurred in the economy and their implications for future tax regimes.

Professor Bob Gregory is currently Professor Emeritus at the Research School of Economics at The Australian National University. He has held positions at the University of Melbourne, London School of Economics, The Australian National University, Industries Assistance Commission, Northwestern University, and visiting positions at The Board of Governors, Federal Reserve System, Washington, University of Chicago, Hitotsubashi University and University College, London. He held the Harvard Chair of Australian Studies. 1983-84.
Professor Gregory was Head of the Economics Department, RSSS, ANU from 1986-2006. He has been closely involved in the analysis and development of Australian economic policy; a member of the Board of Management at the Australian Institute of Family Studies, author of a series of government Aged Care Reviews, member of the committee that recommended the introduction of student income contingent loans, member of the Board of the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Australian Sciences and Technology Council. Professor Gregory has been awarded the Order of Australia Medal and has an honorary doctorate from the University of Melbourne. He is an elected Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences and the recipient of the 2001 Distinguished Fellow Award of the Economic Society of Australia.

He has long term research interests in the labour market in China, immigration, the role of women in the labour market, the impact of the mining boom on the Australian economy and the evolving economic effects of the Australian welfare system.

A light lunch will be provided from 12-12.15pm, please register your attendance at the registration tab above.

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